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  1. 原著論文

The number of Japanese radiologic technologists will be increased in 40 years

https://repo.qst.go.jp/records/46892
https://repo.qst.go.jp/records/46892
b668a474-d953-4fc7-bfd8-15615aa97445
Item type 学術雑誌論文 / Journal Article(1)
公開日 2014-11-06
タイトル
タイトル The number of Japanese radiologic technologists will be increased in 40 years
言語
言語 eng
資源タイプ
資源タイプ識別子 http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
資源タイプ journal article
アクセス権
アクセス権 metadata only access
アクセス権URI http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cb
著者 Araseki, Miwa

× Araseki, Miwa

WEKO 467930

Araseki, Miwa

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Yokooka, Yuki

× Yokooka, Yuki

WEKO 467931

Yokooka, Yuki

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Ishikawa, Tomoki

× Ishikawa, Tomoki

WEKO 467932

Ishikawa, Tomoki

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Ogasawara, Katsuhiko

× Ogasawara, Katsuhiko

WEKO 467933

Ogasawara, Katsuhiko

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横岡 由姫

× 横岡 由姫

WEKO 467934

en 横岡 由姫

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抄録
内容記述タイプ Abstract
内容記述 It is essential to predict the long-term supply and demand for the number of radiologic technologists as medical resources. However, it is difficult to predict the number of Japanese radiologic technologists due to complex and intertwining factors. Our purpose in this study was to predict the future number of radiologic technologists using the concept of system dynamics (SD), and to clarify the effects of relevant factors. In order to estimate the number of Japanese radiologic technologists, we constructed a flow diagram using the concept of SD. We simulated the number of radiologic technologists for the following 4 cases: maintaining the status quo, a change in the pass rate for the national examination, a change in the post-graduate employment rate, and a change in the rate of continuing education. The result for the predicted number of radiologic technologists was 50,509 in 20 years, which is 4,394 (9.5 %) more than the present number, and 50,166 in 40 years, which is 4,051 (8.8 %) more than the present number. For the factors influencing the number of technologists, the influence of the pass rate on the national examination and that of the rate for post-graduate employment was larger than that of the rate of continuing education in graduate school. The number of Japanese radiologic technologists will increase until 2033 and decrease until 2042, and it does not change after 2042 in case of maintaining the status quo. Implementing the concept of SD allowed us easily to clarify the factors influencing the predicted number of radiologic technologists.
書誌情報 Radiological Physics and Technology

巻 6, 号 2, p. 467-473, 発行日 2013-06
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ ISSN
収録物識別子 1865-0333
DOI
識別子タイプ DOI
関連識別子 10.1007/s12194-013-0220-7
関連サイト
識別子タイプ URI
関連識別子 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12194-013-0220-7
関連名称 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12194-013-0220-7
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